We back the price,
not the team

A unit is 1% of your betting bankroll, meaning the money you've set aside for betting. On a £500 bankroll a unit is £5. On £1,000 it's £10. We stake between 1u and 3u depending on how confident the model is, which keeps your risk steady whatever size your bankroll is. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

BTTS stands for Both Teams To Score. The bet wins if both sides score at least once, whatever the final result. It doesn't matter who wins, only that neither team keeps a clean sheet. It's one of our busiest markets.

U2.5 means Under 2.5 goals. The bet wins if the two teams combine for two goals or fewer, so 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 or 0-2. Three goals or more and it loses. The model looks for matches where a low score is likelier than the bookmaker's price suggests.

These are match result bets, also called 1X2. Home backs the home side, Away backs the visitors, and Draw backs neither of them winning. We only take these when the price sits well above what our model thinks the outcome is worth, so it isn't a matter of backing whoever looks strongest on paper.

Value betting means backing an outcome when the bookmaker's odds are higher than its true probability. If our model gives a team a 40% chance and the price implies 30%, that's a value bet. Plenty of them lose. Across hundreds of bets the maths leans your way. Casinos make their money on the same principle, just from the other side of the counter.

Yield is profit as a percentage of everything you've staked. A yield of +18% means 100 units staked returned 18 units of profit. It's the fairest measure of betting performance because it accounts for how much you bet, not just how much you won. Every line in the record shows the odds taken, the stake in units, the result as W or L, and the exact profit or loss.

VIP costs £19.99 a month and covers every value bet the model finds. Message our Telegram bot with /subscribe and it sends you a secure payment link. Payments run through Stripe. Once yours clears, the bot sends a private invite to the VIP channel straight away. Cancel whenever you like and your access runs to the end of the billing period.

The free channel gives you selected picks, occasional insights and the full public track record, which is enough to judge whether the model is any good before you spend anything. VIP gives you everything it finds: all strategies, all leagues, all stakes, posted by the bot before kick-off. That's typically 5 to 15 bets a day, depending on how busy the fixture list is.

Bookmakers spend heavily on pricing the Premier League and La Liga, and their odds there are sharp enough to leave very little on the table. Romanian Liga 2, Greek Super League 2 and the Icelandic League Cup get far less attention, so the prices are looser and mistakes are more common. Our model goes looking for those. It works a bit like the stock market, where the household names are picked over and the overlooked corners are where the mispricing sits.

We don't guarantee profit and we won't pretend otherwise. What we can offer is a record that's public and includes every losing bet, so you can judge it yourself. Value betting pays off over the long run, and the short run can be rough: losing days, losing weeks, sometimes a losing month. What counts is the trend across hundreds of bets. If you want winners every day, this isn't for you. If you're comfortable with probability and can stick to a staking plan, the numbers are there for you to read. Bet responsibly, and only with money you can afford to lose.